wishy's math-based predictions for football match | Sport…
wishy's math-based predictions for football match
  •   wishy [2523301]wishy [2523301]
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    Thread created on 21:35:48 - 03/07/21 (3 months ago)
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    Last replied 02:55:41 - 12/07/21 (3 months ago)
    Here I will post my math-based predictions. They are computed from team form as well as clashes in team characteristics. Individual player quality is not directly taken into account, but is indirectly taken through team form. The values in brackets are the values I calculated, from which I round. In exceptional cases, I may not round to the closest whole number. For example, Team A 1.6-2.4 Team B, I may round it to 1-2 or 2-3 because I feel like it represents the three way result better. 

    I am aiming for over 53.3% correct for 3 way results. The mean value is 33.3%. This comes from 80% in two way result. 20% is given to the betting mafia the randomness of the sport.

    3 way result(current): 57% (4/7)

    correct score: 43% (3/7)

    correct predictions will be in green and incorrect in red
    Last edited by wishy on 02:52:09 - 12/07/21
  •   wishy [2523301]wishy [2523301]
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    Posted on 21:37:38 - 03/07/21 (3 months ago)
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    Spain 2.17-1.86 Switzerland

    3 way

    Spain to dominate possession(who knew?) and Switzerland to win more aerials.

    Also spain to create many goalscoring opportunitites.

    Belgium 1.85-1.96 Italy

    3 way

    This will probably be a very tight match.

    Belgium do not actually create many chances, it is counter intuitive since they have KDB. They are aces at finishing tho. But KDB will probably not be playing anyway.

    Belgium to win more aerials. Italy to have a bit more possession.

    Czech Republic 1.37-1.82 Denmark

    Denmark to win more aerials.

    England 1.65-1.09 Ukraine

    3 way
    Last edited by wishy on 21:39:06 - 03/07/21
  •   wishy [2523301]wishy [2523301]
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    Posted on 02:46:20 - 04/07/21 (3 months ago)
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    Euro 2020 semi-finals prediction 

    Spain 1(1.42)-1(1.38) Italy

    England 1(1.50)-2(1.71) Denmark
    Last edited by wishy on 03:03:07 - 08/07/21
  •   wishy [2523301]wishy [2523301]
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    Posted on 03:02:57 - 08/07/21 (3 months ago)
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    Euro 2020 Final prediction

    Italy 1(1.50)-1(1.40) England
    Last edited by wishy on 02:52:58 - 12/07/21
  • QnK StumpyDog [2252131]StumpyDog [2252131]
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    Posted on 08:20:37 - 08/07/21 (3 months ago)
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    please tell me who does your crystal ball tell you who will win the final??
  • SPCR Phil-I-P [2035498]Phil-I-P [2035498]
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    Posted on 08:50:50 - 08/07/21 (3 months ago)
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    StumpyDog [2252131]

    please tell me who does your crystal ball tell you who will win the final??
    Based on his semis predictions, his Nostradamus  spreadsheet has some kind of virus.

  •   wishy [2523301]wishy [2523301]
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    Posted on 02:52:44 - 12/07/21 (3 months ago)
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    StumpyDog [2252131]

    please tell me who does your crystal ball tell you who will win the final??

    Phil-I-P [2035498]

    Based on his semis predictions, his Nostradamus spreadsheet has some kind of virus.
    i just outpredicted 95% of ppl here on 2 way
  •   wishy [2523301]wishy [2523301]
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    Posted on 02:55:41 - 12/07/21 (3 months ago)
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    well this is boring there are no more games for a while. I think i am going to start predicting mls now even tho ive never watched it in my life, the only player i know is gonzalo higuain
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